Thursday , 13/5/10 , another good days racing. Hopefully i have found some value.
Firstly to the 4:45 Salisbury , i like Joe Packet. This horse was runner-up twice in 2 year old maidens up to 7 furlongs but hadnt seen this years races out so i think this step back in trip to 6 furlongs will surely aid his chances tomorrow. This horse ran over 6 furlongs at Windsor last July on good to firm ground and ran a blinder , finishing 2nd at a huge price , and finished 2 places ahead of a horse called Yaa Wayl , who came out the other day and won a very competitive race at Chester. Then at Salisbury he again ran over 6 furlongs on good to firm ground and was again 2nd. Since then he has been ran over a mile and 7 furlongs so you can see why i must fancy this horses chances now dropped back to 6 furlongs. Has also ran off 77 a few starts back and runs off a low mark of 70 tomorrow. David Probert takes the ride for the Portman stable, who have had a few large gambled horses recently so dont be surprised if this horse is well backed tomorrow and im expecting a good run at the forecast price of 16/1. 2 Points e/w.
Onto York 4:55 , i give an e/w squeak to Hollins. This is a very lightly-raced horse and interestingly made a winning return last year over 1 mile 2 furlongs at Pontefract in July. Hasnt been very impressive since but did have a win over hurdles at Kelso. Interestingly, Hollins is back to its last winning mark of 70 and has won fresh as he did last year. In that race last year, he comprehensively disposed of Jeer by 11 lengths who also runs in this race tomorrow. Freddie Tylicki knows this horse as he has won on him, has a handy 3 pound claim , goes well fresh and has an e/w squeak for me at a forecast 25/1. 1 Point e/w.
Perth 5:40 brings my last bet. Forcefield has improved with each start to date , second over course and distance on heavy going last month. Stayed on well that day but i think good ground might see even more improvement in this horse. I think he was beat by a decent horse in Skipper Robin that day, and it ran a cracker considering the price, if connections fancy this tomorrow i think it has a right chance at the forecast price of 10/1. 2 Points e/w.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
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