Monday 31/5/10
My first selection today runs in the 3:45 Goodwood , Standout. This is an Orotario colt and is out of Kingmambo. On pedigree i think a mile is its trip but every Hannon newcomer is very dangerous. The favourite is Dr Green also trained by Hannon but i reckon another one of his little fiddles could be on here today. A couple of days ago i had King Of Jazz backed who is trained by Hannon and went off favourite only for his outsider who was backed from 40/1 into 25/1 to come and spoil the party and make me feel sick inside. This is not a great maiden at all and i think this horse can give the favourite a big run for its money , im hoping Spencer gives it a prominent ride at the forecast price of 5/1. 4 Point Win.
My second bet is Mujood , runs at 4:20 Goodwood. This horse loves it around here at Goodwood , has won at the Course 5 times , has won over this distance 3 times and has won over C+D 2 times. Has been in great form already this season and there is more to come im sure. Loves the trip , loves good to firm ground so conditions are perfect. Is up against some very good horses today and is up a couple of pounds , but i feel it can give a very solid run and might win at the forecast price of 15/2. 2 Points e/w.
My final bet comes in the 5:55 Chepstow , Loyal Royal. This horse has a poor enough win strike-rate but ran a blinding race last time and showed it might be coming into some good form. Interestingly it is 10 pounds below its last winning mark so if back to its best , should take a lot of beating. On its last run at Wolverhampton , it only lost out by a neck to Only A Game. Has run off a mark of 95 earlier in its career so running off 50 today is a very leniant mark. Should go well at the forecast price of 8/1 and my only concern is the change from AW to Turf. 1 Point e/w.
Monday, May 31, 2010
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Hi Adrian
ReplyDeleteGood blog –
But why the unraced Standout in the 3.45 for Hannon mate? Dobbs and Hughes suspended and nothing spectacular about Spencer booked for it. Dr Green is his first choice with Moore and that one looks solid from its second run track should suit it better than haydock – Good luck but only a shot in the dark really. Major Conquest put up a quite speedy effort at Newbury (as green as grass) and should reach the frame
Mujood holds a major chance in the 4.20 – has to improve on my ratings though (by quite a bit at least 5lbs) and Candy has two in the race, Senor Peltro is running off a mark a lb lower than I made it last time at Goodwood.
5.55 Chepstow Loyal Royal pretty dark animal on turf and did well early days on firm going way back as a baby... good luck on this one in a tricky race you seem to have found an angle – watch any betting for Sermons Mount (blnk first time and well drawn) who was backed a bit last time at brighton
good luck
BobT
I never said Spencer was a significant jockey booking mate, all i said was that im hoping Spencer can give it a prominent ride. I like the pedigree of the horse and i know Dr Green is first choice , but i think Dr Green is very beatable watching his 2 runs. Yes it is a bit of a shot in the dark but isnt everything!!! Mujood should be placed i feel , very solid and consistent horse. Loyal Royal is on a very low mark. Thanks for your comment
ReplyDeleteagreed - do you have Mr Hannon site? its
ReplyDeletehttp://www.richardhannonracing.tv/news.php
have found it very candid and given me some long price winners in the past -- good luck today