Saturday 15/5/10 brings another good day of racing. I will be sticking to Newbury today.
My first bet is in the 2:30 , Green Moon. This is a very lightly raced horse and was well held on debut in October. 2 weeks later it ran again and finished a very creditable 4th of 15 behind a decent Godolphin horse and that race has thrown up winners. On its only other run at Leicester over 1 mile 1 furlong , it destroyed the field by 5 lengths and i think this horse is open to a lot more improvement as it is out of Montjeu. Is its first handicap , runs off 82 and the booking of Spencer look significant and i think this horse can go well at the forecast price of 10/1. 1.5 Points e/w
Onto the 3:40 , i will be backing Desert Phantom. This horse is down in grade , as it was a Listed winner at 2 years old. Then had a long lay-off and ran a poor enough return, and that was its only run last year. Ran a respectable return lately over 5 furlongs at Newbury off 95 , is dropped to 94 and is running over a more suitable 6 furlongs. Richard Hughes is a significant jockey booking and if anywhere near its best , should definately be battling out the finish at the forecast price of 11/1. 1 Point e/w.
My NAP comes in the 4:15 , Plume. This horse has only had the two runs. On its debut it was well beaten by Pipette at Salisbury but Hannon knows how to ready a horse and on its only other outing , it beat Posy Fossil by 4 and 1/2 lengths at Haydock over 6 furlongs last September. That day, the horse wasnt even shoved along, won on the bridle. Good to firm ground suits as that was the ground it won on at Haydock , is up in trip to 7 furlongs but that is no problem as it shaped like further would suit as it didnt even come off the bridle over 6, showed electric cruising speed. Richard Hughes rides and this horse could be anything, it could be very special and would be overpriced at the forecast price of 4/1. 5 Point win.
Friday, May 14, 2010
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