Monday 10/5/10 brings about a new day and hopefully a good one. I will be sticking to Redcar today and have hopefully found a few nice bets.
In the 3:20 i like ALEQA. This horse was tailed off on its only outing , finishing last of 14 but im not worried about that because C F Wall does not get many first-time out winners at all and usually he is brilliant at bringing a horse on from its first run. That was 213 days ago so im pretty sure a lot of work has gone into this horse since, and could be absolutely anything. The race he ran in last year was a Class 4 and he is now running in Class 5 maiden company tomorrow in what is a pretty weak race and wont take much winning. 50,000 guineas was paid for this horse and is out of Oasis Dream so this 6 furlongs tomorrow should be fine , as should the ground. Ted Durcan has good success when he rides for the trainer so im expecting a big run tomorrow and i wont let the form of his only race put me off having a bet at the forecast 10/1. 2 Points E/W.
Onto the 5:20 , i like INSHAALLAH. This horse has ran in 3 maidens to date and its best effort was when 5th to Solicitor at Southwell last time out. Is running off a fair mark of 50 tomorrow but why i like this horse is because i like horses that are having their first run in a handicap after 3 maiden runs. Some trainers like to give their horses 3 runs in maidens before getting them wound up for a handicap so i find this horse very interesting. Should stay 1 mile and i think can figure at the forecast 14/1. 1 Point E/W.
Finally onto the 5:50 , the horse i will have a nibble on is an outsider , HOTGROVE BOY. This horse is a shot in the dark , is completely out of form but looking through its mediocre form , i see he finished 10th of 13 in a Class 4 event at Newcastle last October. Finishing 5th that day was Sir Pitt who has since come out and won twice , beating odds-on shot On Khee very comfortably. I think the step down in class to Class 6, a drop to a rating of 48 from 52 and coming onto turf instead of the polytrack is going to stand him in good stead and i think he might sneak into the places at a forecast price of 20/1. 2 Points E/W.
Sunday, May 9, 2010
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