I am having a tough time of late , a few horses i backed that i should not have in hindsight and my very good profit margin has slowly slipped away from me so i have to work very hard in trying to restore a good profit , and i hope that begins from today Tuesday 1/6/10. New month , new agenda .. Have a prosperous day everyone.
My first bet comes in the 3:15 Leicester , The Hermitage. This horse won a maiden in Newmarket but has been mostly out of form since. Last year this horse finished 2nd in a 5 furlong Listed event so if re-capping that form would nearly be a shoe-in tomorrow. The only problem is that the horse is very inconsistent but last time it ran a very good race , finishing 2nd to Maison Brillet over 7 furlongs at Thirsk that day at a big price and ran from the front that day and was just caught near the line. Runs off the same mark of 73 tomorrow , same ground , same class and same trip so there is no reason to think this horse isn't a very good e/w bet at the forecast price of 7/1. 2 Points e/w.
My second bet comes in the 5:00 Redcar , Interest Free. This horse has shaped with a bit of promise on all of its 3 maiden races and is in a handicap tomorrow for the first time. I am always very interested in horses that have been given 3 maiden runs and then switched into a handicap , lots of trainers have the intention on winning the first handicap it goes into and no better trainer of late than Easterby. On its last outing it was 3rd to Fairy Shoes at Musselburgh and the 2nd placed horse that day , Mrs Mogg , has come out yesterday and ran 2nd again , somewhat upholding the form. The jockey booking of Paul Hanagan looks significant and i think this horse should go well at the forecast price of 7/1. 2 Points e/w.
My final bet is in the 5:30 Redcar , Boy Racer. This horse started out its career with Mark Johnston and ran with credit its first 2 races. Interestingly tomorrow is its first ever attempt at a sprint trip. On its very first run the horse went off a very short favourite so something must have been though of it but things dont seem to have worked according to plan. Is now running in a Class 6 Maiden Amateur Riders race tomorrow and if they let the horse bowl along in front , it could well sneak into the places if not win and very interestingly he has one of the best amateur riders on board tomorrow , Mr S Dobson. Tentative e/w selection at the forecast price of 10/1. 1 Point e/w.
Monday, May 31, 2010
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